Wednesday 14 October 2015

Understanding Risk


Certain events, which have happened in the recent past, have got me thinking about the concept of risk and risk management itself. When organizations or their management state that they are managing risk, do they fully appreciate, what risk is all about?

The scandal at Volkswagen and the closure of Imperial Bank in Kenya, a few days should really be a wakeup call for anybody with the responsibility of managing any organization.

I am sure, risk management reports at both entities indicated that management had put in place measures to manage the various risks that the two organizations would face.

Many organizations spend much time worrying about operational risks, more so to protect their jobs, but as the two events demonstrate, the ultimate question that management should ask is – What threatens our ultimate Survivor? Have we done enough to ensure we will be operating tomorrow?

After all the hard work that employees have put in, it is not right that something beyond them, that could have been managed, threatens their livelihoods. While facts are unclear about who did what at VW, it is clear that shortcuts were taken in order to meet short-term gains (sales and profits). Clearly, somebody did not think about the consequences of being caught and therefore exposing the organization to financial implications that will be felt for a long term. Something that could have been fixed technically, with little financial implication now threatens the existence of VW, as we know it….to quote VW’s new CEO "Technical solutions to the problems are within view. However, the business and financial consequences are not yet clear,"

While it is not clear of what happened at Imperial Bank, the implications of CBK’s action are far reaching – over 500 jobs are at risk, Shs 58 billion of depositors money and Shs 2 billion of bond holders funds is at risk.

As a bank CEO, what should be keeping you awake, meeting the half-year numbers or providing confidence to depositors and investors that their money and investment is safe?

As a CEO or CFO, it’s important to have the big picture about your organization, look beyond the numbers…ask yourself, will my risk management ensure profitability and survival in 10 years’ time or will I work to ensure I meet the numbers as long as I am here….and the rest will somehow sort itself?

Risk management is beyond making your Internal Auditors and your Board Audit Chair happy……there are wider implications…think about your staff, your investors, the society just to name but few….see the big picture?

6 comments:

  1. VW, by installing the emission-cheating software were managing the risk of being caught by the emission testers.

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  2. We need boards that are able to influence the quality of decisions made in an institution and the quality of management. The quality of their decisions is critically dependent on the quality of the Information they have. We need to empower our boards enough to set the right tone to enable success of Risk management within an organisation.
    Ideally, had the board of imperial bank maintained “effective” oversight of the operations of the institution, Imperial would not be in this mess. But then again, I guess there is more to this story than meets the eye

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  3. Having a board is not enough, having an audit committee is also not enough....the Board members need to be competent and understand the business. in many cases, board members do not really understand their mandate. It is important that board members are trained or briefed on risk management and their responsibilities in setting the tone - independence of the board should not be on paper only. Management should view the Board as an asset to the organization and not a matter of compliance ...

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  4. The jobs at risk has a domino affect - direct is over 500 Imperial bank employers - then comes the domino - businesses closing due to no access to their accounts - in these business everyone will loose their jobs - over 54000 imperial customers with about 3/4 not having access to other money, most have staff at home as well, they will also loose their jobs - and consider the extended families being affected

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    Replies
    1. Lets not forget the bank run that is currently happening on most tier 2 and below banks which will in effect lead to more jobs being lost and on the extreme liquidity issues on many banks,which will lead to heavy borrowing from the CBK(lender of last resort).....
      The domino effect on this one will be huge!

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  5. Hi Ken, I am pursuing a career with ACCA, and looking for relevant experience in the field of finance and accounting, Any leads are highly appreciated.
    Mukamijoy22@gmail.com

    ReplyDelete